tommy31

tommy31 | Joined since 2015-07-24

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2015-07-31 04:39 | Report Abuse

Continuing downtrend make existing shareholde to worry, parly because of JPY currency depreciation. But it is said that fair value of Yen-USD rate based on PPP(Purchasing Power Parity) is the 105-110 Yen/Doller range. I guess in the mid-long term, currency will converge to fair valule.
慢慢了

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2015-07-24 20:13 | Report Abuse

I guess there are 2 reason
1) Potential Equity Fundig & dilution
Sponsoring comapny "Accordia Golf" is accerelating asset light strategy. Their major stakeholder give strong pressur for earlier implementation. Even though there are room for debt-fundig with Japanse ultra-low interest rate, leverage is limited. Current low valuation heighten the concern for potential dilution. Fund director's independence will be tested.

2) Japan's demography
In the mid-long term, Japanese golf population is expected to gradually decrease.
Even Daiwa's analyst evaluate the stock with negative growth rate in his report.

But I agree with you that this trust is under-valued, good buying opportunity assuming Mr.Machida(Trust CEO) act to protect stakeholder's interest, avoidng dilutive equity funding.